Difference between revisions of "Climate Change in Planning and Design"

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|Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions
 
|Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions
 
|View [http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Parker_Ensembles_Uncertainty_Prediction_WIREscc_2013.pdf Class Link]
 
|View [http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Parker_Ensembles_Uncertainty_Prediction_WIREscc_2013.pdf Class Link]
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|Ensembles and describing uncertainty
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|Parker
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|Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty,ensembles and probability
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|View [http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Parker_Predicting_Climate_Uncertainty_StudHistPhilosModPhys_2010.pdf Class Link]
 
|Ensembles and describing uncertainty  
 
|Ensembles and describing uncertainty  
 
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Revision as of 11:52, 28 September 2015

Required Readings / Resources (2015) assigned

Author Title Link Purpose
Hawkins and Sutton The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions View Class Link Classifying uncertainty
Barnett et al. Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions View Class Link Basic research, assessment, and usability
National Climate Assessment Southwest region assessment View Class Link Basic research, assessment, and usability

Required Readings / Resources (2015) to be assigned

Author Title Link Purpose
Pidgeon and Fischhoff The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks View Class Link Communicating uncertainty
Moss Reducing doubt about uncertainty: Guidance for IPCC’s third assessment View Class Link Communicating uncertainty
Climate Change Study Program Best practice approaches for characterizing, communicating, and incorporating scientific uncertainty in climate decision making View Class Link Communicating and using uncertainty
Hurrell et al. Climate predictions and projections over the coming decades (recorded lecture (MP4), skip first 9:30) View Class Link Classifying and describing uncertainty
National Public Radio Risk and reason(Recordings of radio series) View Class Link Communicating and using uncertainty
Lemos and Rood Climate projections and their impact on policy and practice View Class Link Uncertainty and usability
Knaggard What do policy-makers do with scientific uncertainty? The incremental character of Swedish climate change policy-making View Class Link Case study of uncertainty use



Resources Suggested (2015)

Lectures Powerpoint, Recordings, PDFs

Climate Introduction in One Lecture

Introduction to Uncertainty in the Scientific Investigation of Earth's Climate

AOSS 480 / NRE 480 Climate Change: An Inter-Disciplinary Approach to Problem Solving



Resources Additional (2015)

Ensembles: Science and Philosophy

Author Title Link Purpose
Climateprediction.net World's largest climate modeling experiment (Web site: Information in several tabs on the site) View Class Link Ensembles and describing uncertainty
Tebaldi and Knutti The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabalistic climate projections View Class Link Ensembles and describing uncertainty
Parker Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions View Class Link Ensembles and describing uncertainty
Parker Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty,ensembles and probability View Class Link Ensembles and describing uncertainty

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/CCSP_Transportation_Gulf_Coast_sap4_7_final_2008.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Collins_Model_Ensemble_Methods_ClimDyn_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Curry_Uncertainty_Monster_BAMS_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Harding_Scenario_Uncertainty_HyrolEarSysSci_2012.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Hargreaves_Trust_Climate_Model_WIREscc_2014.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Lloyd_Confirmation_Robustness_Climate_Models_PhilosSci_2010.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Lynn_Uncertainty_Model_Configuration_ClimaticChan_2009.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Mastrandrea_Mach_Uncertainty_AR4_AR5_ClimaticChan_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Mastrandrea_Uncertainty_Common_Approach_AR5_ClimaticChan_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Moss_Schneider_Consistent_Reporting_Uncertainty_IPCC_2000.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Moss_Yohe_Uncertainty_Confidence_NCA_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Murphy_Probabilistic_Uncertainty_Regional_Climate_PhilTransRoySoc_2007.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Murphy_Quantification_Model_Uncertainty_Ensemble_Nature_2004.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Northrup_Framework_Uncertainty_Models_JClim_2013.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/NRC_Communicating_Uncertainty_Chapter_6_NRC_2012.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Parker_Values_Uncertainty_Climate_Prediction_StudHistPhilosSci_2014.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Tang_Dessai_Usable_Science_WeaClimSoc_2012.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Tomassini_Knutti_Uncertainty_Mitigation_21st_Century_Temp_ClimaticChan_2010.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Yip_Framework_Uncertainty_Models_JClim_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Yohe_Oppenheimer_Uncertainty_Essay_AR5_ClimaticChan_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/SYR_AR5_SPM_Synthesis_2014.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/SYR_AR5_Synthesis_Full_Report_2014.pdf

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/05/22/how-not-to-communicate-uncertainty-about-climate-change/