Difference between revisions of "Climate Change in Planning and Design"

From CLASP Classes
Jump to: navigation, search
(Course Description)
Line 1: Line 1:
 
== Course Description==
 
== Course Description==
But regardless of how much supporting scientific information is available, making choices about how to act in the face of uncertainty can prove contentious if people disagree about the nature of the risks they face or about which elements of these risks are most important."  America's Climate Choices, 2011
+
 
 +
"But regardless of how much supporting scientific information is available, making choices about how to act in the face of uncertainty can prove contentious if people disagree about the nature of the risks they face or about which elements of these risks are most important."  America's Climate Choices, 2011
  
 
"... in the case of some people, not even if we had the most accurate scientific knowledge, would it be easy to persuade them …”  Aristotle, Rhetoric, 350 BC
 
"... in the case of some people, not even if we had the most accurate scientific knowledge, would it be easy to persuade them …”  Aristotle, Rhetoric, 350 BC

Revision as of 15:10, 29 September 2015

Course Description

"But regardless of how much supporting scientific information is available, making choices about how to act in the face of uncertainty can prove contentious if people disagree about the nature of the risks they face or about which elements of these risks are most important." America's Climate Choices, 2011

"... in the case of some people, not even if we had the most accurate scientific knowledge, would it be easy to persuade them …” Aristotle, Rhetoric, 350 BC

This problem has been around a long time.

Bold textRequired Readings / Resources (2015) assigned

Author Title Link Purpose
Hawkins and Sutton The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions View Class Link Classifying uncertainty
Barnett et al. Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions View Class Link Basic research, assessment, and usability
National Climate Assessment Southwest region assessment View Class Link Basic research, assessment, and usability

Required Readings / Resources (2015) to be assigned

Author Title Link Purpose
Pidgeon and Fischhoff The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks View Class Link Communicating uncertainty
Moss Reducing doubt about uncertainty: Guidance for IPCC’s third assessment View Class Link Communicating uncertainty
Climate Change Study Program Best practice approaches for characterizing, communicating, and incorporating scientific uncertainty in climate decision making View Class Link Communicating and using uncertainty
Hurrell et al. Climate predictions and projections over the coming decades (recorded lecture (MP4), skip first 9:30) View Class Link Classifying and describing uncertainty
National Public Radio Risk and reason(Recordings of radio series) View Class Link Communicating and using uncertainty
Lemos and Rood Climate projections and their impact on policy and practice View Class Link Uncertainty and usability
Knaggard What do policy-makers do with scientific uncertainty? The incremental character of Swedish climate change policy-making View Class Link Case study of uncertainty use



Resources Suggested (2015)

Lectures Powerpoint, Recordings, PDFs

Climate Introduction in One Lecture

Introduction to Uncertainty in the Scientific Investigation of Earth's Climate

AOSS 480 / NRE 480 Climate Change: An Inter-Disciplinary Approach to Problem Solving



Resources Additional (2015)

Overviews: Communicating, describing, organizing, using

Author Title Link Purpose
Moss and Schneider Uncertainties in the IPCC TAR: Recommendations To Lead Authors For More Consistent Assessment and Reporting View Class Link Communicating, describing, organizing, and using uncertainty
National Research Council Characterizing, Quantifying, and Communicating Uncertainty (Chapter 6) View Class Link Communicating, describing, organizing, and using uncertainty

|}

Ensembles: Science and Philosophy

Author Title Link Purpose
Climateprediction.net World's largest climate modeling experiment (Web site: Information in several tabs on the site) View Class Link Ensembles and describing uncertainty
Collins et al. Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles View Class Link Ensembles and describing uncertainty
Parker Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions View Class Link Ensembles and describing uncertainty
Parker Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty,ensembles and probability View Class Link Ensembles and describing uncertainty
Tebaldi and Knutti The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabalistic climate projections View Class Link Ensembles and describing uncertainty

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/CCSP_Transportation_Gulf_Coast_sap4_7_final_2008.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Curry_Uncertainty_Monster_BAMS_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Harding_Scenario_Uncertainty_HyrolEarSysSci_2012.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Hargreaves_Trust_Climate_Model_WIREscc_2014.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Lloyd_Confirmation_Robustness_Climate_Models_PhilosSci_2010.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Lynn_Uncertainty_Model_Configuration_ClimaticChan_2009.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Mastrandrea_Mach_Uncertainty_AR4_AR5_ClimaticChan_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Mastrandrea_Uncertainty_Common_Approach_AR5_ClimaticChan_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Moss_Yohe_Uncertainty_Confidence_NCA_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Murphy_Probabilistic_Uncertainty_Regional_Climate_PhilTransRoySoc_2007.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Murphy_Quantification_Model_Uncertainty_Ensemble_Nature_2004.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Northrup_Framework_Uncertainty_Models_JClim_2013.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Parker_Values_Uncertainty_Climate_Prediction_StudHistPhilosSci_2014.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Tang_Dessai_Usable_Science_WeaClimSoc_2012.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Tomassini_Knutti_Uncertainty_Mitigation_21st_Century_Temp_ClimaticChan_2010.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Yip_Framework_Uncertainty_Models_JClim_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/Yohe_Oppenheimer_Uncertainty_Essay_AR5_ClimaticChan_2011.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/SYR_AR5_SPM_Synthesis_2014.pdf

http://climateknowledge.org/CLIMATE_530_Uncertainty_Stationarity_Readings/SYR_AR5_Synthesis_Full_Report_2014.pdf

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/05/22/how-not-to-communicate-uncertainty-about-climate-change/